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  • NAFA Administrator posted an article
    JetBrokers' February 2021 Market Update see more

    NAFA member, JetBrokers, shares their recent market update showing improving trends despite the COVID pandemic.

    With the vaccine rolling out, JetBrokers forecasts 2021 will be a strong year for business aviation with ultra-high net individuals (UHNWIs) continuing to seek safer travel options to fulfill their personal travel needs in Q1. Corporate travel is expected to pick up again in Q2. 

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    After increasing in 2019, overall inventories of preowned private jets and turboprops dropped in 2020, after increasing 2019. Inventories of light to medium jets are now below levels in January 2020. Inventories of heavy jets have increased. 

    Average Asking Price Trends for Jets and Turboprops

    After increasing in 2019, business aircraft sales prices dropped in 2020 while still remaining higher than 2018. The preowned jet and turboprop market will continue to improve as the vaccine continues to roll out. As ultra-high net worth individuals (UHNWIs) - who entered the market as first-time buyers in 2020 realize the value of business aviation - the market will continue to stabilize with steady growth projected for pre-owned transactions.

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    During the second half of 2020, aircraft prices for jet and turboprops trended upward despite the COVID pandemic. We expect demand for light to medium jets to remain steady and demand for heavy jets to return to previous rates in increase in 2021.

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    The BCI (Business confidence index) for the United States is higher than the world at large, despite the COVID pandemic, with increased confidence in near future business performance.

    Pre-owned and new aircraft sales were on different trajectories in first three quarters of 2020. Sales volumes were down over the previous year with pre-owned transactions showing less impact than new aircraft deliveries. In contrast to their overall share of dollars, light jets continue to make up an important portion of the market in terms of aircraft delivered. 

    Forecast 2021 and Beyond

    In 2021, new business aircraft models in development or close to release are AirBus ACJ TwoTwenty, Dassault Falcon 6X, Gulfstream G700, SyberJetSJ30i, Beechcraft King Air 360/360ER, Beechcraft King Air 260, Cessna Citation Hemisphere, Cessna Denali and Cessna SkyCourier.

    Business aircraft asking prices are stabilizing with inventories either plateauing or falling. Demand for private jets and turboprops is expected to rise. The preowned market is improving with mostly robust demand indicators for business aircraft. Global aircraft market demand and usage varies depending on the overall needs of the region. Europe has pent up demand for light to medium jets while the Asian market has steady need for larger, long-range aircraft.

    Industry forecasts for new business jet deliveries are valued between $217.5bn to $236bn for the next ten years with projections of between 6584 aircraft (per JETNET iQ) and 7404 aircraft (per Aviation Week). 

    Click here to download JetBrokers February 2021 Market Update PDF.

    This report was originally published by JetBrokers in February 2021.  

  • Tracey Cheek posted an article
    What's Your Learjet Worth on Today's Market? see more

    NAFA member, Jeremy Cox, Vice President of JetBrokers, Inc., spotlights the specific points of value in the used Learjet marketplace.

    The legendary Learjet series continues to be popular among business jet owners and operators today – and that includes the used aircraft sales market with a total of 246 used transactions for Learjets occurring since January 2010 across all models.

    All of the post-production Learjet models discussed within this article are currently projected by the Aircraft Bluebook to accumulate averages of between 306 and 408 flight hours annually. The highest annual projection belongs to the Learjet 35A and the lowest is assigned to the Learjet 31A.

    THE AVERAGE TOTAL-TIMES FOR EACH MODEL AT THE TIME OF WRITING WERE AS FOLLOWS:

    • Learjet 75 (2015 Model): 697 flight hours
    • Learjet 60 (2000 Model): 5,164 flight hours
    • Learjet 55 (1983 Model): 10,986 flight hours
    • Learjet 45 (2002 Model): 3,760 flight hours
    • Learjet 40 (2006 Model): 4,575 flight hours
    • Learjet 35 (1980 Model): 10,953 flight hours
    • Learjet 31 (1995 Model): 6,125 flight hours

    Following, we’ll consider each model with its variants, and offer some insight into of their current market values.

    LEARJET 70 & 75

    Today, there are two Learjet models in production at Bombardier – the Learjet 75 (with a 2018 list price of $13.8m) and the Learjet 70 (with a list price of $11.3m). The Learjet 75 and 70 were introduced as improvements over the Learjet 45 and 40, respectively.

    Among the enhancements these models offer are new TFE731-40BR engines, new winglets and a three-screen Garmin G5000 avionics panel packaged and marketed as the Bombardier Vision Flight Deck. While the MGTOW of both models is 21,500lbs, the Learjet 70 is 2.6 feet shorter than the Learjet 75.

    In terms of residual value a 2015 Learjet 75 is indicated to be at about 52% of its new price, based upon a retail value today of $7.2m.

    LEARJET 60/60SE/60XR

    The Learjet 60 was introduced to the market as the successor to the Learjet 55 model (overleaf). It included a 3.5 foot stretched fuselage over its predecessor allowing for increased passenger and baggage space. Many have an optional Auxiliary Power Unit (APU) installed in the rear compartment.

    Powered by two Pratt & Whitney Canada PW305A engines, the original Learjet 60 is equipped with Full Authority Digital Engine Control (FADEC) and has a standard Collins Proline 4 avionics package (with four-tube EFIS, digital tuning heads and Collins FMS-850 Flight Management System).

    The Learjet 60SE followed the original Learjet 60, and is equipped with the same engines as the standard model, but has a 1,000lbs higher MGTOW (23,750lbs). It was introduced as the ‘Special Edition’, because it features an APU, the Collins TWR-850 Radar, TCAS II, new interior and entertainment system, and an expanded list of new-build options that could add up to $1m to the delivered price.

    The Learjet 60XR, meanwhile, is the same as a 60SE model, except that the avionics suite had been upgraded to the Proline 21, four-tube EFIS system. The Learjet 60XR also features a redesigned, expanded galley cabinet and a much-improved entertainment system. Finally, the aft lavatory incorporates a cabin window for natural lighting.

    The residual value of a 2000-model Learjet 60 is currently at about 12% of its 2000 list price. The current retail value is approximately $1.7m. The following ‘Appraised Value Add-Ons’ for the Learjet 60 model are based on my own numbers, not those of the value guides:

    • Auxiliary Power Unit (APU) below s/n 275 +$150,000
    • Flight Data Recorder +$50,000
    • TCAS II +$90,000
    • TWR-850 Radar +$10,000
    • Gogo Biz ATG-5000 +$135,000

    LEARJET 55/55B/55C

    The Learjet 55 series included three models. The original Learjet 55 incorporated a pair of TFE731-3A-2B engines producing 3,700lbst each. Although the Learjet 55B that followed utilized the same engines, it also offered operators increased MGTOW, and an all-digital flight deck.

    Finally, the Learjet 55C introduced Delta Fins on the lower-rear fuselage for increased pitch, and directional stability, and single-point refuel became standard for this model. Rockwell Collins’ Five-Tube EFIS-85L, APS-85 Autopilot and UNS-1A FMS were incorporated into the cockpit.

    The residual value of a 1983 Learjet 55 is currently at about 11% of its 1983 list price ($6.9m) and the current retail value is ~$730k.

    The following ‘Appraised Value Add-Ons’ for the Learjet 55 model are based on my numbers, not those of the value guides:

    • ER Modification +$25,000
    • LR Modification +$65,000
    • Gogo Biz ATG-5000 +$135,000

    LEARJET 45/45XR

    The Bombardier Learjet 45 was a clean-sheet aircraft design when it entered the market. Most importantly for passengers, the interior cabin space was designed first, with the aircraft being built around that space, all by computer modeling. The only component shared with earlier Learjet models was the Nose Landing Gear. Everything else was new.

    Up to s/n 52, the standard Learjet 45 model came equipped with TFE731-20R engines, each producing 3,500 lbst and featuring FADEC. After s/n 52, these engines were delivered in the -20AR configuration (offering more robust hot-section components, and improved reliability with new carbon seals). An APU is an option on the Learjet 45.

    The Learjet 45XR differed from the standard model, by incorporating a further upgraded version of the same TFE731-20BR engines which allowed a 1,000 lbs increase to MGTOW (21,500 lbs). Again, an APU is standard.

    The residual value of a 2002 Learjet 45 is currently at about 15% of its 2002 list price ($13.209m), and current retail value is approximately $2m.

    The following ‘Appraised Value Add-Ons’ for the Learjet 45 model are based on my numbers, not those of the value guides:

    • No APU -$150,000
    • BR Engine Modification +$180,000
    • Gogo Biz ATG-5000 +$135,000

    LEARJET 40/40XR

    The Learjet 40 is shorter by two feet than the Learjet 45XR model, but is powered by the same engines. Performance is stellar, but it carries less fuel and therefore offers a shorter range. The reduced cabin length also eliminates two seats.

    Further, the Learjet 40 is not equipped with an APU. The Learjet 40XR offers approximately 650 lbs greater MGTOW (21,000 lbs) than the Learjet 40 and increased range with the greater fuel capacity.

    The residual value of a 2006 Learjet 40 is currently at about 18% of its 2006 list price ($10.838m) with the current retail value being around $1.9m.

    The following ‘Appraised Value Add-Ons’ for the Learjet 40 model are based on my numbers, not those of the value guides:

    • BR Engine Modification +$180,000
    • Dual UNS-1EW w/WAAS +$80,000
    • Gogo Biz ATG-4000 +$120,00

    This article was originally published in AvBuyer Magazine on March 5, 2018 and on JetBrokers, Inc.